Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Edison International (EIX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$314.92 - $1,642.56$634.25
Multi-Stage$177.41 - $193.93$185.52
Blended Fair Value$409.88
Current Price$55.28
Upside641.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.14%9.97%3.112.882.722.562.412.102.041.831.621.41
YoY Growth--7.73%5.90%6.28%6.47%14.57%2.79%11.46%12.94%15.07%17.49%
Dividend Yield--5.27%4.09%3.86%3.65%4.11%3.83%3.26%2.88%2.04%1.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,186.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,257.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,929.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)637.20398.25238.95
Cash Retained (M)1,929.001,929.001,929.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-637.20-398.25-238.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,291.801,530.751,690.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)385.75385.75385.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.353.974.38
LTM Dividend per Share3.263.263.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.353.974.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.617.237.64
WACC / Discount Rate7.71%7.71%7.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$314.92$634.25$1,642.56
Upside / Downside469.69%1,047.34%2,871.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,186.003,393.093,613.643,848.534,098.684,365.104,496.05
Payout Ratio39.45%49.56%59.67%69.78%79.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,257.001,681.722,156.342,685.563,274.473,928.594,158.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.71%7.71%7.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,546.631,561.291,575.95
Year 2 PV (M)1,823.831,858.561,893.63
Year 3 PV (M)2,088.982,148.942,210.05
Year 4 PV (M)2,342.462,432.542,525.20
Year 5 PV (M)2,584.642,709.482,839.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)58,048.8660,852.6463,763.73
Equity Value (M)68,435.3971,563.4674,807.66
Shares Outstanding (M)385.75385.75385.75
Fair Value$177.41$185.52$193.93
Upside / Downside220.93%235.60%250.81%

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