Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$828.28 - $2,443.05$2,289.50
Multi-Stage$335.13 - $366.70$350.62
Blended Fair Value$1,320.06
Current Price$221.45
Upside496.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS29.76%19.43%4.354.231.961.641.291.181.070.880.820.78
YoY Growth--3.00%115.35%20.02%26.51%9.25%10.13%22.13%7.54%5.03%5.64%
Dividend Yield--2.25%2.08%1.35%1.70%1.57%4.35%2.95%2.78%1.62%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,020.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)394.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)626.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)204.17127.6176.57
Cash Retained (M)626.71626.71626.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-204.17-127.61-76.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)422.53499.10550.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.1083.1083.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.086.016.62
LTM Dividend per Share4.744.744.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.086.016.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.8310.7511.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$828.28$2,289.50$2,443.05
Upside / Downside274.03%933.87%1,003.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,020.871,087.231,157.901,233.161,313.321,398.681,440.64
Payout Ratio38.61%48.89%59.17%69.44%79.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)394.16531.53685.08856.361,047.001,258.811,332.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)493.23497.91502.58
Year 2 PV (M)589.93601.17612.51
Year 3 PV (M)684.29703.93723.95
Year 4 PV (M)776.35806.21836.92
Year 5 PV (M)866.17908.00951.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,440.1225,620.5826,846.23
Equity Value (M)27,850.0929,137.8030,473.63
Shares Outstanding (M)83.1083.1083.10
Fair Value$335.13$350.62$366.70
Upside / Downside51.33%58.33%65.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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