Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$89.91 - $154.81$117.89
Multi-Stage$146.23 - $160.83$153.39
Blended Fair Value$135.64
Current Price$56.75
Upside139.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-20.01%2.49%0.490.200.000.000.401.501.391.120.780.55
YoY Growth--150.78%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-73.47%7.81%24.35%43.61%41.78%43.03%
Dividend Yield--1.13%0.41%0.00%0.00%0.83%5.27%2.67%2.04%1.70%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,630.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)414.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,216.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)926.00578.75347.25
Cash Retained (M)4,216.004,216.004,216.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-926.00-578.75-347.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,290.003,637.253,868.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)652.25652.25652.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.045.585.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.630.630.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.045.585.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.686.216.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Fair Value$89.91$117.89$154.81
Upside / Downside58.43%107.74%172.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,630.004,699.004,769.044,840.124,912.254,985.465,135.03
Payout Ratio8.94%25.15%41.37%57.58%73.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)414.001,181.961,972.712,786.783,624.674,486.924,749.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Year 1 PV (M)1,095.411,106.311,117.21
Year 2 PV (M)1,694.401,728.291,762.51
Year 3 PV (M)2,218.352,285.232,353.45
Year 4 PV (M)2,674.062,782.102,893.38
Year 5 PV (M)3,067.803,223.513,385.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)84,627.4288,922.7893,390.82
Equity Value (M)95,377.44100,048.23104,902.86
Shares Outstanding (M)652.25652.25652.25
Fair Value$146.23$153.39$160.83
Upside / Downside157.67%170.29%183.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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