DDM Analysis: CRAI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$405.69 - $1,660.86	$1,055.40
Multi-Stage	$198.16 - $216.85	$207.34
Blended Fair Value	$631.37
Current Price	$205.17
Upside	207.73%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.63%	0.00%	1.82	1.60	1.41	1.22	1.11	1.00	0.89	0.73	0.17	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	13.82%	12.81%	15.57%	10.48%	10.58%	12.33%	22.24%	323.76%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.05%	1.07%	1.31%	1.43%	1.47%	3.19%	1.76%	1.39%	0.49%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	56.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	43.04

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11.32	7.07	4.24
Cash Retained (M)	43.04	43.04	43.04
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11.32	-7.07	-4.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	31.72	35.96	38.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.78	6.78	6.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.68	5.31	5.73
LTM Dividend per Share	2.00	2.00	2.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.68	5.31	5.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.68	7.31	7.72
WACC / Discount Rate	7.24%	7.24%	7.24%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$405.69	$1,055.40	$1,660.86
Upside / Downside	97.74%	414.40%	709.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	56.58	60.26	64.18	68.35	72.79	77.52	79.85
Payout Ratio	23.94%	37.15%	50.37%	63.58%	76.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13.55	22.39	32.32	43.46	55.90	69.77	73.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.24%	7.24%	7.24%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	20.68	20.88	21.08
Year 2 PV (M)	27.58	28.11	28.64
Year 3 PV (M)	34.25	35.24	36.24
Year 4 PV (M)	40.70	42.27	43.88
Year 5 PV (M)	46.93	49.20	51.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,172.48	1,229.11	1,287.91
Equity Value (M)	1,342.64	1,404.80	1,469.29
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.78	6.78	6.78
Fair Value	$198.16	$207.34	$216.85
Upside / Downside	-3.42%	1.06%	5.69%

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CRA International, Inc. (CRAI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener