Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.34 - $75.95$58.02
Multi-Stage$81.05 - $88.98$84.94
Blended Fair Value$71.48
Current Price$79.94
Upside-10.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.08%2.15%2.192.142.072.051.841.971.951.871.841.83
YoY Growth--2.29%3.43%0.71%11.78%-6.94%1.45%4.05%1.39%1.00%3.25%
Dividend Yield--2.33%2.40%2.75%2.71%2.33%2.97%2.85%2.61%2.52%2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,907.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,814.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,093.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)581.40363.38218.03
Cash Retained (M)1,093.001,093.001,093.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-581.40-363.38-218.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)511.60729.63874.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)817.92817.92817.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.891.07
LTM Dividend per Share2.222.222.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.891.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.843.113.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.57%6.57%6.57%
Growth Rate0.15%1.15%2.15%
Fair Value$44.34$58.02$75.95
Upside / Downside-44.53%-27.42%-4.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,907.002,940.472,974.333,008.573,043.213,078.253,170.60
Payout Ratio62.40%67.92%73.44%78.96%84.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,814.001,997.192,184.362,375.582,570.912,770.432,932.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.57%6.57%6.57%
Growth Rate0.15%1.15%2.15%
Year 1 PV (M)1,855.491,874.011,892.54
Year 2 PV (M)1,885.391,923.221,961.44
Year 3 PV (M)1,904.951,962.582,021.36
Year 4 PV (M)1,915.301,992.952,072.94
Year 5 PV (M)1,917.502,015.162,116.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,810.2859,703.7162,713.85
Equity Value (M)66,288.9069,471.6472,778.89
Shares Outstanding (M)817.92817.92817.92
Fair Value$81.05$84.94$88.98
Upside / Downside1.38%6.25%11.31%

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