Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Cargotec Corporation (CGCBV.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,714.00 - $3,197.55$2,996.57
Multi-Stage$1,870.81 - $2,053.45$1,960.42
Blended Fair Value$2,478.50
Current Price$42.00
Upside5,801.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.31%17.82%2.141.351.081.071.201.101.050.960.820.56
YoY Growth--59.31%25.18%0.14%-10.80%9.58%4.41%9.32%17.80%46.26%34.20%
Dividend Yield--5.11%2.12%2.40%3.11%2.61%6.49%3.05%2.22%1.76%1.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,039.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)138.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)901.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)207.84129.9077.94
Cash Retained (M)901.00901.00901.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-207.84-129.90-77.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)693.16771.10823.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.6364.6364.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.7211.9312.73
LTM Dividend per Share2.142.142.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.7211.9312.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.8614.0714.87
WACC / Discount Rate1.96%1.96%1.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,714.00$2,996.57$3,197.55
Upside / Downside6,361.90%7,034.69%7,513.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,039.201,106.751,178.691,255.301,336.901,423.791,466.51
Payout Ratio13.30%28.64%43.98%59.32%74.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)138.20316.96518.38744.64998.121,281.411,356.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.96%1.96%1.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)307.95310.87313.79
Year 2 PV (M)489.33498.65508.06
Year 3 PV (M)682.93702.54722.51
Year 4 PV (M)889.39923.60958.78
Year 5 PV (M)1,109.371,162.961,218.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)117,439.36123,111.72129,001.18
Equity Value (M)120,918.34126,710.33132,722.91
Shares Outstanding (M)64.6364.6364.63
Fair Value$1,870.81$1,960.42$2,053.45
Upside / Downside4,354.31%4,567.67%4,789.16%

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