Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Citigroup Inc. (C-PJ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$384.10 - $1,522.21$1,046.41
Multi-Stage$237.08 - $259.86$248.26
Blended Fair Value$647.34
Current Price$101.50
Upside537.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.93%23.44%2.732.742.632.732.812.862.642.001.200.66
YoY Growth---0.25%4.18%-3.75%-2.88%-1.74%8.51%32.21%66.03%82.52%97.95%
Dividend Yield--3.85%4.32%5.61%5.12%3.87%6.80%4.10%2.96%2.01%1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,691.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,965.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,726.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,938.201,836.381,101.83
Cash Retained (M)10,726.0010,726.0010,726.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,938.20-1,836.38-1,101.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,787.808,889.639,624.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,901.581,901.581,901.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.104.675.06
LTM Dividend per Share2.092.092.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.104.675.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.186.767.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate4.50%5.50%6.50%
Fair Value$384.10$1,046.41$1,522.21
Upside / Downside278.42%930.95%1,399.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,691.0015,499.5416,352.5817,252.5618,202.0819,203.8619,779.98
Payout Ratio26.99%39.59%52.19%64.80%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,965.006,136.498,535.0011,178.9214,088.0217,283.4718,296.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate4.50%5.50%6.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,724.275,779.055,833.82
Year 2 PV (M)7,426.837,569.647,713.82
Year 3 PV (M)9,074.029,337.019,605.04
Year 4 PV (M)10,667.1911,081.3811,507.53
Year 5 PV (M)12,207.6212,802.9813,421.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)405,722.95425,509.94446,061.51
Equity Value (M)450,822.88472,080.00494,143.05
Shares Outstanding (M)1,901.581,901.581,901.58
Fair Value$237.08$248.26$259.86
Upside / Downside133.58%144.59%156.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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