Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk (BMRI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$78,225.81 - $109,727.12$102,830.38
Multi-Stage$18,893.04 - $20,658.16$19,759.46
Blended Fair Value$61,294.92
Current Price$4,400.00
Upside1,293.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.03%19.72%353.96264.67180.18110.05177.49120.6199.5166.5765.3653.23
YoY Growth--33.74%46.89%63.72%-38.00%47.17%21.20%49.49%1.84%22.80%-9.03%
Dividend Yield--6.81%3.84%3.49%2.79%5.77%5.15%2.68%1.73%2.23%2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51,495,530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43,510,539.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,984,991.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,299,106.006,436,941.253,862,164.75
Cash Retained (M)7,984,991.007,984,991.007,984,991.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,299,106.00-6,436,941.25-3,862,164.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,314,115.001,548,049.754,122,826.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93,333.1193,333.1193,333.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-24.7916.5944.17
LTM Dividend per Share466.19466.19466.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-24.7916.5944.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend441.39482.77510.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.10%6.10%6.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$78,225.81$102,830.38$109,727.12
Upside / Downside1,677.86%2,237.05%2,393.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51,495,530.0054,842,739.4558,407,517.5162,204,006.1566,247,266.5570,553,338.8872,669,939.04
Payout Ratio84.49%85.60%86.70%87.80%88.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43,510,539.0046,942,672.3350,637,150.9654,613,579.0358,893,000.7863,498,004.9967,219,693.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.10%6.10%6.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)43,830,312.8344,245,766.0344,661,219.23
Year 2 PV (M)44,145,128.4544,985,969.1545,834,742.31
Year 3 PV (M)44,455,031.4345,731,175.6247,031,511.40
Year 4 PV (M)44,760,066.9946,481,412.8548,251,936.35
Year 5 PV (M)45,060,279.9947,236,708.3649,496,433.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,541,095,137.281,615,530,608.651,692,814,900.72
Equity Value (M)1,763,345,956.951,844,211,640.661,928,090,743.79
Shares Outstanding (M)93,333.1193,333.1193,333.11
Fair Value$18,893.04$19,759.46$20,658.16
Upside / Downside329.39%349.08%369.50%

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