Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Bicicletas Monark S.A. (BMKS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,138.23 - $3,699.13$2,808.97
Multi-Stage$2,317.68 - $2,537.96$2,425.77
Blended Fair Value$2,617.37
Current Price$400.00
Upside554.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS36.20%4.79%37.6255.3417.127.595.838.0317.0735.2624.3031.58
YoY Growth---32.03%223.25%125.57%30.28%-27.43%-52.97%-51.60%45.12%-23.05%34.09%
Dividend Yield--9.86%13.94%4.39%3.07%2.40%4.12%5.69%10.85%8.10%11.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)76.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.379.615.77
Cash Retained (M)61.6061.6061.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.37-9.61-5.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)46.2351.9955.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.470.470.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share98.14110.38118.54
LTM Dividend per Share32.4232.4232.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share98.14110.38118.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend130.56142.80150.96
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate2.79%3.79%4.79%
Fair Value$2,138.23$2,808.97$3,699.13
Upside / Downside434.56%602.24%824.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)76.8779.7982.8285.9689.2292.6195.38
Payout Ratio19.86%33.89%47.92%61.95%75.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.2727.0439.6853.2567.7883.3488.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate2.79%3.79%4.79%
Year 1 PV (M)24.5524.7925.03
Year 2 PV (M)32.7233.3634.00
Year 3 PV (M)39.8641.0442.23
Year 4 PV (M)46.0847.8949.77
Year 5 PV (M)51.4453.9956.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)897.05941.54987.77
Equity Value (M)1,091.701,142.611,195.46
Shares Outstanding (M)0.470.470.47
Fair Value$2,317.68$2,425.77$2,537.96
Upside / Downside479.42%506.44%534.49%

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