Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Asia Medical and Agricultural Laboratory and Research Center Public Company Limited (AMARC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.35 - $72.28$67.73
Multi-Stage$49.61 - $54.45$51.99
Blended Fair Value$59.86
Current Price$3.24
Upside1,747.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS75.35%0.00%0.080.100.040.020.010.000.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth---20.91%179.48%100.00%25.00%200.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.58%7.08%1.37%0.62%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)152.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.5319.0811.45
Cash Retained (M)93.8793.8793.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.53-19.08-11.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.3474.7982.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)420.00420.00420.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate-1.19%-1.19%-1.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$61.35$67.73$72.28
Upside / Downside1,793.43%1,990.57%2,130.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)152.64162.56173.13184.38196.37209.13215.40
Payout Ratio38.50%48.80%59.10%69.40%79.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.7779.33102.32127.96156.51188.22199.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.19%-1.19%-1.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)79.5380.2981.04
Year 2 PV (M)102.84104.80106.78
Year 3 PV (M)128.94132.64136.41
Year 4 PV (M)158.10164.17170.43
Year 5 PV (M)190.61199.82209.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,178.2021,152.8122,164.73
Equity Value (M)20,838.2121,834.5322,868.76
Shares Outstanding (M)420.00420.00420.00
Fair Value$49.61$51.99$54.45
Upside / Downside1,431.32%1,504.54%1,580.54%

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