DDM Analysis: ALEX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$16.96 - $33.75	$23.53
Multi-Stage	$17.91 - $19.56	$18.72
Blended Fair Value	$21.12
Current Price	$18.19
Upside	16.13%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.38%	22.85%	0.89	0.88	0.79	0.64	0.19	0.69	2.15	0.14	0.17	0.14
YoY Growth	-	-	1.06%	11.44%	23.82%	237.68%	-72.40%	-68.07%	1,420.39%	-16.26%	19.42%	24.10%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.18%	5.45%	4.19%	2.76%	1.13%	6.12%	8.45%	0.61%	0.57%	0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	73.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	49.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	24.24

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14.67	9.17	5.50
Cash Retained (M)	24.24	24.24	24.24
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14.67	-9.17	-5.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9.57	15.07	18.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	72.87	72.87	72.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.21	0.26
LTM Dividend per Share	0.67	0.67	0.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.21	0.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.81	0.88	0.93
WACC / Discount Rate	8.29%	8.29%	8.29%
Growth Rate	3.38%	4.38%	5.38%
Fair Value	$16.96	$23.53	$33.75
Upside / Downside	-6.75%	29.34%	85.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	73.34	76.55	79.91	83.41	87.06	90.88	93.60
Payout Ratio	66.95%	71.56%	76.17%	80.78%	85.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	49.10	54.78	60.86	67.38	74.34	81.79	86.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.29%	8.29%	8.29%
Growth Rate	3.38%	4.38%	5.38%
Year 1 PV (M)	50.10	50.59	51.07
Year 2 PV (M)	50.91	51.90	52.90
Year 3 PV (M)	51.55	53.06	54.60
Year 4 PV (M)	52.02	54.06	56.17
Year 5 PV (M)	52.35	54.93	57.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,047.97	1,099.64	1,153.34
Equity Value (M)	1,304.90	1,364.19	1,425.69
Shares Outstanding (M)	72.87	72.87	72.87
Fair Value	$17.91	$18.72	$19.56
Upside / Downside	-1.56%	2.92%	7.56%

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Financial Statements

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Miscellaneous

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Sector

Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener