Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Invincible Investment Corporation (8963.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - Hotel & MotelSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$216,860.79 - $858,111.74$369,008.84
Multi-Stage$140,580.45 - $153,406.89$146,877.92
Blended Fair Value$257,943.38
Current Price$62,000.00
Upside316.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.04%0.00%3,281.021,916.28277.13152.361,497.912,692.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--71.22%591.46%81.89%-89.83%-44.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.96%3.14%0.54%0.42%4.52%4.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53,437.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32,882.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,555.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,687.546,679.714,007.83
Cash Retained (M)20,555.2220,555.2220,555.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,687.54-6,679.71-4,007.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,867.6813,875.5116,547.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.307.307.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,351.271,900.092,265.98
LTM Dividend per Share4,502.884,502.884,502.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,351.271,900.092,265.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,854.156,402.986,768.86
WACC / Discount Rate8.35%8.35%8.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$216,860.79$369,008.84$858,111.74
Upside / Downside249.78%495.18%1,284.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53,437.7156,911.1660,610.3864,550.0668,745.8173,214.2975,410.72
Payout Ratio61.53%67.23%72.92%78.61%84.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32,882.4938,259.8944,197.4250,745.1957,957.4365,892.8669,754.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.35%8.35%8.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34,980.4835,312.0535,643.62
Year 2 PV (M)36,945.4637,649.1738,359.51
Year 3 PV (M)38,782.9739,896.2941,030.72
Year 4 PV (M)40,498.3642,055.8143,657.76
Year 5 PV (M)42,096.7744,130.0646,241.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)833,290.16873,538.39915,327.01
Equity Value (M)1,026,594.191,072,581.761,120,259.77
Shares Outstanding (M)7.307.307.30
Fair Value$140,580.45$146,877.92$153,406.89
Upside / Downside126.74%136.90%147.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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