Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Okamura Corporation (7994.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,444.16 - $14,860.42$8,397.43
Multi-Stage$3,769.44 - $4,114.68$3,938.94
Blended Fair Value$6,168.19
Current Price$2,348.00
Upside162.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.30%15.13%88.0876.0143.4342.1832.6334.9632.5927.9730.2721.54
YoY Growth--15.89%74.99%2.98%29.27%-6.68%7.26%16.55%-7.61%40.51%0.05%
Dividend Yield--3.97%3.40%2.28%3.48%2.17%4.67%2.97%1.72%2.84%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,483.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,902.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,581.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,296.602,685.381,611.23
Cash Retained (M)12,581.0012,581.0012,581.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,296.60-2,685.38-1,611.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,284.409,895.6310,969.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)94.6594.6594.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.53104.55115.90
LTM Dividend per Share94.0594.0594.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.53104.55115.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend181.58198.61209.95
WACC / Discount Rate9.02%9.02%9.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,444.16$8,397.43$14,860.42
Upside / Downside131.86%257.64%532.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,483.0022,879.4024,366.5625,950.3827,637.1629,433.5730,316.58
Payout Ratio41.44%51.15%60.86%70.57%80.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,902.0011,702.8014,830.0818,314.4722,189.1826,490.2128,042.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.02%9.02%9.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,633.8610,734.6610,835.45
Year 2 PV (M)12,244.6512,477.8812,713.30
Year 3 PV (M)13,740.3814,134.8214,536.73
Year 4 PV (M)15,126.7915,708.5316,306.88
Year 5 PV (M)16,409.4017,201.9818,024.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)288,614.82302,555.02317,028.75
Equity Value (M)356,769.90372,812.88389,446.01
Shares Outstanding (M)94.6594.6594.65
Fair Value$3,769.44$3,938.94$4,114.68
Upside / Downside60.54%67.76%75.24%

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