Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Roland Corporation (7944.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,551.81 - $18,720.50$10,243.97
Multi-Stage$4,594.35 - $5,009.50$4,798.20
Blended Fair Value$7,521.08
Current Price$3,375.00
Upside122.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201420132012
DPS19.95%29.95%175.09167.08151.36108.3584.3670.53426.5611.0215.4319.85
YoY Growth--4.79%10.39%39.70%28.44%19.61%-83.47%3,769.22%-28.57%-22.23%55.72%
Dividend Yield--4.65%3.68%3.80%2.69%2.11%3.77%0.00%0.59%1.70%3.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,125.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,609.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,516.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,425.00890.63534.38
Cash Retained (M)2,516.002,516.002,516.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,425.00-890.63-534.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,091.001,625.381,981.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.9726.9726.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share40.4560.2773.48
LTM Dividend per Share170.90170.90170.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share40.4560.2773.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend211.35231.17244.38
WACC / Discount Rate8.90%8.90%8.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,551.81$10,243.97$18,720.50
Upside / Downside94.13%203.53%454.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,125.007,588.138,081.358,606.649,166.079,761.8710,054.72
Payout Ratio64.69%69.75%74.81%79.88%84.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,609.005,292.736,045.876,874.567,785.448,785.689,300.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.90%8.90%8.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,814.394,860.034,905.66
Year 2 PV (M)5,002.455,097.735,193.91
Year 3 PV (M)5,174.055,322.585,473.92
Year 4 PV (M)5,330.045,535.015,745.85
Year 5 PV (M)5,471.225,735.486,009.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)98,112.70102,851.58107,771.83
Equity Value (M)123,904.85129,402.42135,101.03
Shares Outstanding (M)26.9726.9726.97
Fair Value$4,594.35$4,798.20$5,009.50
Upside / Downside36.13%42.17%48.43%

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