Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Depo Auto Parts Industrial Co., Ltd. (6605.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,246.06 - $2,647.31$2,480.42
Multi-Stage$1,626.72 - $1,788.19$1,705.92
Blended Fair Value$2,093.17
Current Price$132.00
Upside1,485.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.09%4.97%6.444.952.971.391.492.282.482.972.484.46
YoY Growth--30.00%66.67%114.29%-6.67%-34.78%-8.00%-16.67%20.00%-44.44%12.50%
Dividend Yield--3.33%2.31%3.27%2.32%2.37%5.30%3.63%3.52%2.98%4.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,276.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,492.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)783.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)455.26284.54170.72
Cash Retained (M)783.97783.97783.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-455.26-284.54-170.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)328.70499.43613.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)167.46167.46167.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.962.983.66
LTM Dividend per Share8.918.918.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.962.983.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8711.8912.57
WACC / Discount Rate-0.57%-0.57%-0.57%
Growth Rate3.27%4.27%5.27%
Fair Value$2,246.06$2,480.42$2,647.31
Upside / Downside1,601.56%1,779.11%1,905.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,276.312,373.552,474.952,580.672,690.922,805.872,890.04
Payout Ratio65.56%70.45%75.34%80.22%85.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,492.351,672.121,864.532,070.322,290.292,525.282,673.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.57%-0.57%-0.57%
Growth Rate3.27%4.27%5.27%
Year 1 PV (M)1,665.551,681.681,697.81
Year 2 PV (M)1,849.911,885.901,922.25
Year 3 PV (M)2,046.022,106.032,167.20
Year 4 PV (M)2,254.522,343.122,434.30
Year 5 PV (M)2,476.072,598.292,725.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)262,119.43275,058.34288,503.25
Equity Value (M)272,411.48285,673.37299,450.11
Shares Outstanding (M)167.46167.46167.46
Fair Value$1,626.72$1,705.92$1,788.19
Upside / Downside1,132.37%1,192.36%1,254.69%

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