Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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V V Food & Beverage Co.,Ltd (600300.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.14 - $1.54$1.34
Multi-Stage$2.12 - $2.33$2.22
Blended Fair Value$1.78
Current Price$3.34
Upside-46.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.76%-4.06%0.070.030.030.130.070.090.090.080.100.08
YoY Growth--119.13%9.45%-78.60%95.04%-21.73%-2.02%8.79%-19.38%23.00%-20.27%
Dividend Yield--2.06%1.08%0.90%3.00%1.87%2.64%2.52%1.97%1.56%1.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)406.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)210.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)195.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.2850.8030.48
Cash Retained (M)195.41195.41195.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.28-50.80-30.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)114.13144.61164.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,701.651,701.651,701.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate-6.06%-5.06%-4.06%
Fair Value$1.14$1.34$1.54
Upside / Downside-65.91%-59.76%-53.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)406.40385.82366.28347.73330.12313.40322.80
Payout Ratio51.92%59.53%67.15%74.77%82.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)210.99229.69245.96259.98271.96282.06298.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate-6.06%-5.06%-4.06%
Year 1 PV (M)207.18209.39211.59
Year 2 PV (M)200.11204.40208.73
Year 3 PV (M)190.80196.96203.25
Year 4 PV (M)180.03187.82195.86
Year 5 PV (M)168.42177.57187.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,662.532,807.312,958.31
Equity Value (M)3,609.083,783.443,964.86
Shares Outstanding (M)1,701.651,701.651,701.65
Fair Value$2.12$2.22$2.33
Upside / Downside-36.50%-33.43%-30.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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