Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Ryobi Limited (5851.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,667.83 - $12,274.23$7,118.71
Multi-Stage$4,278.66 - $4,683.19$4,477.18
Blended Fair Value$5,797.94
Current Price$2,145.00
Upside170.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201820172016
DPS4.53%8.13%87.3459.9730.0610.1335.0769.9869.8249.9949.9939.98
YoY Growth--45.65%99.49%196.65%-71.10%-49.89%0.22%39.68%0.00%25.04%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.90%2.08%1.95%0.95%2.11%5.27%2.71%1.37%2.19%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,590.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,747.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,843.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,318.00823.75494.25
Cash Retained (M)3,843.003,843.003,843.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,318.00-823.75-494.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,525.003,019.253,348.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.3732.3732.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share78.0193.28103.46
LTM Dividend per Share84.8784.8784.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share78.0193.28103.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend162.88178.15188.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate3.87%4.87%5.87%
Fair Value$4,667.83$7,118.71$12,274.23
Upside / Downside117.61%231.87%472.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,590.006,911.007,247.657,600.687,970.928,359.198,609.97
Payout Ratio41.68%51.35%61.01%70.67%80.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,747.003,548.634,421.835,371.696,403.597,523.277,964.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate3.87%4.87%5.87%
Year 1 PV (M)3,269.713,301.193,332.67
Year 2 PV (M)3,754.053,826.683,900.01
Year 3 PV (M)4,202.014,324.544,449.44
Year 4 PV (M)4,615.494,795.824,981.37
Year 5 PV (M)4,996.325,241.505,496.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)117,655.20123,428.83129,426.92
Equity Value (M)138,492.79144,918.56151,586.62
Shares Outstanding (M)32.3732.3732.37
Fair Value$4,278.66$4,477.18$4,683.19
Upside / Downside99.47%108.73%118.33%

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