Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

UOA Development Bhd (5200.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.80 - $1.10$0.95
Multi-Stage$3.04 - $3.37$3.20
Blended Fair Value$2.08
Current Price$1.82
Upside14.03%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.86%10.73%0.010.230.040.010.020.010.010.010.010.01
YoY Growth---96.12%505.35%508.04%-60.38%182.75%-36.40%38.97%14.16%-21.40%118.25%
Dividend Yield--0.52%12.52%2.31%0.36%0.88%0.35%0.41%0.26%0.21%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)409.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)214.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)195.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.9051.1930.71
Cash Retained (M)195.18195.18195.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.90-51.19-30.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.28144.00164.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,629.472,629.472,629.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.140.14
WACC / Discount Rate5.69%5.69%5.69%
Growth Rate-8.58%-7.58%-6.58%
Fair Value$0.80$0.95$1.10
Upside / Downside-56.16%-47.87%-39.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)409.49378.45349.77323.25298.75276.10284.39
Payout Ratio52.34%59.87%67.40%74.93%82.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)214.31226.57235.75242.23246.37248.49263.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.69%5.69%5.69%
Growth Rate-8.58%-7.58%-6.58%
Year 1 PV (M)212.05214.37216.69
Year 2 PV (M)206.49211.03215.62
Year 3 PV (M)198.56205.15211.88
Year 4 PV (M)189.01197.42206.10
Year 5 PV (M)178.42188.39198.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,011.547,403.507,812.80
Equity Value (M)7,996.078,419.868,861.90
Shares Outstanding (M)2,629.472,629.472,629.47
Fair Value$3.04$3.20$3.37
Upside / Downside67.08%75.94%85.18%

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