Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ta Ann Holdings Berhad (5012.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.61 - $84.98$30.38
Multi-Stage$9.43 - $10.28$9.84
Blended Fair Value$20.11
Current Price$4.15
Upside384.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%11.51%0.500.200.500.250.050.000.100.100.090.17
YoY Growth--150.00%-60.00%100.00%400.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.08%9.09%-45.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--12.85%4.90%15.82%4.85%1.75%0.00%4.39%3.25%2.48%4.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)188.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.6423.5314.12
Cash Retained (M)12.0312.0312.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.64-23.53-14.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-25.61-11.50-2.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)440.46440.46440.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.030.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.030.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15.61$30.38$84.98
Upside / Downside276.06%631.95%1,947.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)188.22200.45213.48227.35242.13257.87265.61
Payout Ratio93.61%92.89%92.16%91.44%90.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176.18186.19196.75207.90219.67232.08245.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)171.08172.70174.32
Year 2 PV (M)166.11169.27172.47
Year 3 PV (M)161.28165.91170.62
Year 4 PV (M)156.58162.60168.79
Year 5 PV (M)152.00159.34166.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,344.673,506.223,673.95
Equity Value (M)4,151.724,336.044,527.12
Shares Outstanding (M)440.46440.46440.46
Fair Value$9.43$9.84$10.28
Upside / Downside127.13%137.21%147.67%

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