Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

MIRARTH Real Estate Investment Corporation (3492.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$112,211.69 - $177,963.04$142,187.29
Multi-Stage$247,167.51 - $271,425.71$259,061.72
Blended Fair Value$200,624.50
Current Price$85,300.00
Upside135.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS24.60%0.00%4,721.374,515.444,243.383,697.214,343.621,571.990.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.56%6.41%14.77%-14.88%176.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.02%4.69%3.96%3.28%5.12%1.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,504.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,493.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,010.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,700.821,063.01637.81
Cash Retained (M)1,010.581,010.581,010.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,700.82-1,063.01-637.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)-690.23-52.43372.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.770.770.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share-900.78-68.42486.49
LTM Dividend per Share9,779.299,779.299,779.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share-900.78-68.42486.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,878.519,710.8710,265.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-1.33%-0.33%0.67%
Fair Value$112,211.69$142,187.29$177,963.04
Upside / Downside31.55%66.69%108.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,504.098,476.378,448.738,421.188,393.728,366.358,617.34
Payout Ratio88.12%88.49%88.87%89.25%89.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,493.517,501.017,508.387,515.627,522.737,529.727,971.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-1.33%-0.33%0.67%
Year 1 PV (M)6,973.767,044.447,115.11
Year 2 PV (M)6,489.946,622.156,755.70
Year 3 PV (M)6,039.586,225.076,414.32
Year 4 PV (M)5,620.385,851.706,090.09
Year 5 PV (M)5,230.175,500.625,782.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)159,041.54167,265.49175,826.18
Equity Value (M)189,395.38198,509.48207,983.55
Shares Outstanding (M)0.770.770.77
Fair Value$247,167.51$259,061.72$271,425.71
Upside / Downside189.76%203.71%218.20%

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