Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Samty Residential Investment Corporation (3459.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$176,062.18 - $436,846.84$263,633.69
Multi-Stage$195,273.50 - $213,606.13$204,269.94
Blended Fair Value$233,951.81
Current Price$93,300.00
Upside150.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.15%0.00%5,464.345,525.185,482.654,601.543,987.174,251.483,682.841,795.061,764.15696.62
YoY Growth---1.10%0.78%19.15%15.41%-6.22%15.44%105.17%1.75%153.24%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.86%5.39%4.71%3.71%3.13%4.54%3.14%1.97%2.11%0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,837.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,784.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,053.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,367.57854.73512.84
Cash Retained (M)1,053.421,053.421,053.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,367.57-854.73-512.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)-314.15198.69540.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.840.840.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share-373.45236.20642.63
LTM Dividend per Share6,876.396,876.396,876.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-373.45236.20642.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend6,502.947,112.597,519.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.96%6.96%6.96%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Fair Value$176,062.18$263,633.69$436,846.84
Upside / Downside88.71%182.57%368.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,837.837,121.437,416.807,724.428,044.808,378.478,629.83
Payout Ratio84.59%85.68%86.76%87.84%88.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,784.416,101.326,434.566,784.967,153.357,540.627,982.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.96%6.96%6.96%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Year 1 PV (M)5,649.665,704.435,759.21
Year 2 PV (M)5,517.185,624.675,733.20
Year 3 PV (M)5,386.965,545.165,706.43
Year 4 PV (M)5,259.025,465.955,678.92
Year 5 PV (M)5,133.365,387.075,650.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)137,317.64144,104.33151,156.74
Equity Value (M)164,263.82171,831.61179,685.21
Shares Outstanding (M)0.840.840.84
Fair Value$195,273.50$204,269.94$213,606.13
Upside / Downside109.30%118.94%128.95%

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