Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Genius Electronic Optical Co., Ltd (3406.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$687.72 - $1,775.94$1,042.85
Multi-Stage$494.41 - $539.05$516.33
Blended Fair Value$779.59
Current Price$428.00
Upside82.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.69%0.00%11.9812.058.0410.018.943.143.090.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.55%49.78%-19.68%11.99%184.49%1.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.06%2.46%2.09%2.20%1.85%0.76%0.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,384.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,029.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,355.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)676.91423.07253.84
Cash Retained (M)1,355.151,355.151,355.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-676.91-423.07-253.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)678.25932.081,101.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)112.93112.93112.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.018.259.75
LTM Dividend per Share17.9717.9717.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.018.259.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.9826.2227.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$687.72$1,042.85$1,775.94
Upside / Downside60.68%143.66%314.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,384.533,604.523,838.814,088.344,354.084,637.094,776.21
Payout Ratio59.96%65.97%71.98%77.98%83.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,029.382,377.842,763.033,188.253,657.084,173.384,417.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,157.502,177.952,198.40
Year 2 PV (M)2,274.682,318.012,361.74
Year 3 PV (M)2,381.532,449.892,519.55
Year 4 PV (M)2,478.592,573.912,671.95
Year 5 PV (M)2,566.412,690.362,819.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,975.3146,099.3448,304.65
Equity Value (M)55,834.0158,309.4660,875.36
Shares Outstanding (M)112.93112.93112.93
Fair Value$494.41$516.33$539.05
Upside / Downside15.52%20.64%25.95%

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