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Definitive Analysis

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Far East Horizon Limited (3360.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$149.52 - $386.31$362.03
Multi-Stage$55.63 - $60.86$58.20
Blended Fair Value$210.11
Current Price$6.22
Upside3,277.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.46%16.94%0.610.420.380.330.240.210.200.160.160.12
YoY Growth--44.52%9.86%14.28%38.47%14.18%3.03%27.39%-0.87%29.91%-1.38%
Dividend Yield--11.35%7.53%7.07%5.91%3.58%3.24%2.95%2.75%2.72%2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,222.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,148.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,073.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,844.491,152.81691.68
Cash Retained (M)5,073.735,073.735,073.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,844.49-1,152.81-691.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,229.243,920.924,382.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,747.834,747.834,747.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.830.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.870.870.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.830.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.551.701.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$149.52$362.03$386.31
Upside / Downside2,303.82%5,720.34%6,110.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,222.449,821.9010,460.3211,140.2411,864.3612,635.5413,014.61
Payout Ratio44.98%53.99%62.99%71.99%81.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,148.715,302.656,589.068,020.319,609.7811,371.9912,038.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,927.804,974.505,021.21
Year 2 PV (M)5,690.415,798.805,908.20
Year 3 PV (M)6,436.816,621.596,809.87
Year 4 PV (M)7,167.267,442.897,726.40
Year 5 PV (M)7,882.008,262.708,657.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)232,003.90243,209.77254,844.52
Equity Value (M)264,108.17276,310.26288,968.19
Shares Outstanding (M)4,747.834,747.834,747.83
Fair Value$55.63$58.20$60.86
Upside / Downside794.33%835.65%878.51%

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