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Definitive Analysis

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Mitsui Fudosan Accommodations Fund Inc. (3226.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34,641.82 - $45,930.29$40,509.81
Multi-Stage$123,285.52 - $136,766.01$129,880.02
Blended Fair Value$85,194.91
Current Price$123,500.00
Upside-31.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.22%-2.18%2,301.064,420.694,215.104,104.133,961.383,943.873,630.923,401.983,186.383,025.75
YoY Growth---47.95%4.88%2.70%3.60%0.44%8.62%6.73%6.77%5.31%5.45%
Dividend Yield--1.86%3.35%3.21%3.00%3.00%3.02%2.72%3.37%3.57%3.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,983.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,697.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,285.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,596.672,872.921,723.75
Cash Retained (M)6,285.426,285.426,285.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,596.67-2,872.92-1,723.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,688.753,412.504,561.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share670.841,355.591,812.09
LTM Dividend per Share6,633.116,633.116,633.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share670.841,355.591,812.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,303.967,988.708,445.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate-12.22%-11.22%-10.22%
Fair Value$34,641.82$40,509.81$45,930.29
Upside / Downside-71.95%-67.20%-62.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,983.3620,405.6518,117.0416,085.1114,281.0812,679.3813,059.76
Payout Ratio72.65%76.12%79.59%83.06%86.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,697.9315,533.1514,419.6013,360.4412,357.4811,411.4412,080.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate-12.22%-11.22%-10.22%
Year 1 PV (M)14,448.9114,613.5114,778.10
Year 2 PV (M)12,476.8312,762.7113,051.83
Year 3 PV (M)10,753.4411,125.1411,505.31
Year 4 PV (M)9,251.939,680.7610,124.33
Year 5 PV (M)7,947.288,410.378,894.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)255,475.64270,362.27285,934.90
Equity Value (M)310,354.04326,954.76344,289.28
Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
Fair Value$123,285.52$129,880.02$136,766.01
Upside / Downside-0.17%5.17%10.74%

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