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Definitive Analysis

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Macnica Fuji Electronics Holdings, Inc. (3132.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,490.55 - $9,183.40$5,323.86
Multi-Stage$2,484.66 - $2,709.71$2,595.16
Blended Fair Value$3,959.51
Current Price$1,941.00
Upside103.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS33.73%28.93%90.4762.9352.1827.1120.7721.1524.1712.9522.428.37
YoY Growth--43.76%20.60%92.48%30.55%-1.81%-12.49%86.64%-42.25%167.95%17.40%
Dividend Yield--4.66%2.78%2.64%3.11%2.33%4.09%4.71%2.09%4.10%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,340.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,581.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,759.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,468.002,792.501,675.50
Cash Retained (M)9,759.009,759.009,759.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,468.00-2,792.50-1,675.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,291.006,966.508,083.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.14149.14149.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share35.4846.7154.20
LTM Dividend per Share84.3684.3684.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share35.4846.7154.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend119.84131.07138.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,490.55$5,323.86$9,183.40
Upside / Downside79.83%174.28%373.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,340.0023,792.1025,338.5926,985.5928,739.6630,607.7431,525.97
Payout Ratio56.32%63.05%69.79%76.53%83.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,581.0015,001.5917,683.7020,651.1123,929.5627,546.9629,161.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,618.4613,747.5413,876.63
Year 2 PV (M)14,573.1814,850.7615,130.96
Year 3 PV (M)15,449.5315,893.0316,344.94
Year 4 PV (M)16,251.6416,876.6317,519.48
Year 5 PV (M)16,983.4917,803.8018,655.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)293,678.24307,863.01322,590.66
Equity Value (M)370,554.54387,034.77404,118.17
Shares Outstanding (M)149.14149.14149.14
Fair Value$2,484.66$2,595.16$2,709.71
Upside / Downside28.01%33.70%39.60%

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