Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zero One Technology Co., Ltd. (3029.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$100.26 - $198.26$138.74
Multi-Stage$82.42 - $89.60$85.95
Blended Fair Value$112.34
Current Price$106.50
Upside5.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.35%22.61%3.733.323.312.281.511.110.960.880.730.29
YoY Growth--12.22%0.57%45.03%51.39%35.19%15.75%8.72%20.97%155.99%-41.18%
Dividend Yield--3.06%4.61%6.00%5.12%3.29%3.98%3.99%4.14%3.78%1.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)974.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)835.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)139.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)194.88121.8073.08
Cash Retained (M)139.36139.36139.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-194.88-121.80-73.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)-55.5217.5666.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.80165.80165.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.330.110.40
LTM Dividend per Share5.045.045.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.330.110.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.705.145.44
WACC / Discount Rate10.45%10.45%10.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$100.26$138.74$198.26
Upside / Downside-5.86%30.27%86.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)974.381,037.721,105.171,177.011,253.511,334.991,375.04
Payout Ratio85.70%86.56%87.42%88.28%89.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)835.03898.23966.131,039.051,117.381,201.491,271.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.45%10.45%10.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)805.63813.27820.90
Year 2 PV (M)777.19791.99806.94
Year 3 PV (M)749.68771.20793.13
Year 4 PV (M)723.08750.89779.49
Year 5 PV (M)697.36731.04766.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,912.3410,391.1110,888.20
Equity Value (M)13,665.2714,249.4914,854.67
Shares Outstanding (M)165.80165.80165.80
Fair Value$82.42$85.95$89.60
Upside / Downside-22.61%-19.30%-15.87%

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