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Definitive Analysis

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FTGroup Co., Ltd. (2763.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,224.20 - $1,750.64$1,482.29
Multi-Stage$1,959.37 - $2,151.15$2,053.41
Blended Fair Value$1,767.85
Current Price$1,233.00
Upside43.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-2.67%9.06%55.8155.9856.9965.4166.3963.9052.0244.6832.1327.22
YoY Growth---0.30%-1.77%-12.88%-1.47%3.89%22.84%16.44%39.04%18.04%16.05%
Dividend Yield--4.80%4.84%5.28%7.25%5.03%4.94%3.41%3.36%3.39%3.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,324.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,644.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,680.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,064.80665.50399.30
Cash Retained (M)3,680.003,680.003,680.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,064.80-665.50-399.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,615.203,014.503,280.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.7929.7929.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.77101.17110.11
LTM Dividend per Share55.1855.1855.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.77101.17110.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend142.95156.35165.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.34%9.34%9.34%
Growth Rate-2.09%-1.09%-0.09%
Fair Value$1,224.20$1,482.29$1,750.64
Upside / Downside-0.71%20.22%41.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,324.005,265.915,208.455,151.625,095.415,039.815,191.01
Payout Ratio30.88%42.70%54.53%66.35%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,644.002,248.712,840.033,418.183,983.384,535.834,801.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.34%9.34%9.34%
Growth Rate-2.09%-1.09%-0.09%
Year 1 PV (M)2,035.802,056.592,077.38
Year 2 PV (M)2,327.692,375.482,423.76
Year 3 PV (M)2,536.282,614.792,694.90
Year 4 PV (M)2,675.802,786.812,901.23
Year 5 PV (M)2,758.422,902.193,051.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)46,045.2448,445.2050,944.21
Equity Value (M)58,379.2361,181.0664,093.38
Shares Outstanding (M)29.7929.7929.79
Fair Value$1,959.37$2,053.41$2,151.15
Upside / Downside58.91%66.54%74.46%

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