Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

West China Cement Limited (2233.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.83 - $4.79$3.69
Multi-Stage$4.26 - $4.67$4.46
Blended Fair Value$4.08
Current Price$1.38
Upside195.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.46%3.27%0.020.070.090.120.060.050.040.000.000.00
YoY Growth---65.57%-22.99%-28.01%94.17%23.60%27.76%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-90.07%
Dividend Yield--1.55%10.85%10.69%10.67%6.42%4.41%4.23%0.00%0.00%0.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,263.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)489.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)773.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)252.71157.9594.77
Cash Retained (M)773.71773.71773.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-252.71-157.95-94.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)520.99615.76678.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,451.155,451.155,451.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$2.83$3.69$4.79
Upside / Downside105.27%167.22%247.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,263.561,287.071,311.011,335.401,360.251,385.561,427.12
Payout Ratio38.77%49.01%59.26%69.51%79.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)489.86630.85776.92928.201,084.851,247.001,320.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)581.27587.04592.80
Year 2 PV (M)659.61672.75686.03
Year 3 PV (M)726.13747.94770.18
Year 4 PV (M)781.98813.46845.87
Year 5 PV (M)828.23870.11913.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,645.7620,639.1821,672.38
Equity Value (M)23,222.9824,330.4725,480.93
Shares Outstanding (M)5,451.155,451.155,451.15
Fair Value$4.26$4.46$4.67
Upside / Downside208.71%223.43%238.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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