Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Canvest Environmental Protection Group Company Limited (1381.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.31 - $13.47$10.62
Multi-Stage$16.17 - $17.80$16.97
Blended Fair Value$13.80
Current Price$4.59
Upside200.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.57%0.00%0.030.100.120.100.080.060.040.030.010.00
YoY Growth---66.67%-20.00%21.21%26.92%31.79%50.78%34.48%218.20%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.70%2.48%2.86%2.41%2.36%1.65%0.96%0.64%0.24%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,867.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)234.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,633.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)373.48233.43140.06
Cash Retained (M)1,633.211,633.211,633.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-373.48-233.43-140.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,259.731,399.781,493.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,429.442,429.442,429.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.580.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.580.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.610.670.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.56%6.56%6.56%
Growth Rate-0.78%0.22%1.22%
Fair Value$8.31$10.62$13.47
Upside / Downside80.99%131.47%193.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,867.401,871.431,875.461,879.501,883.551,887.611,944.24
Payout Ratio12.54%28.03%43.52%59.02%74.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)234.20524.62816.291,109.221,403.401,698.851,798.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.56%6.56%6.56%
Growth Rate-0.78%0.22%1.22%
Year 1 PV (M)487.41492.32497.24
Year 2 PV (M)704.61718.89733.30
Year 3 PV (M)889.56916.73944.44
Year 4 PV (M)1,045.661,088.461,132.56
Year 5 PV (M)1,176.031,236.501,299.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,974.8736,773.3338,645.02
Equity Value (M)39,278.1341,226.2243,252.00
Shares Outstanding (M)2,429.442,429.442,429.44
Fair Value$16.17$16.97$17.80
Upside / Downside252.23%269.70%287.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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