Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Malayan Banking Berhad (1155.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.46 - $57.66$31.86
Multi-Stage$27.69 - $30.37$29.01
Blended Fair Value$30.44
Current Price$9.91
Upside207.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.67%3.90%0.600.590.570.760.360.530.520.470.410.44
YoY Growth--1.80%2.85%-24.72%109.53%-30.92%1.80%9.21%15.87%-8.06%8.50%
Dividend Yield--5.81%6.07%6.68%8.51%4.40%7.05%5.61%4.46%4.57%4.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,370.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,485.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,884.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,074.101,296.32777.79
Cash Retained (M)2,884.772,884.772,884.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,074.10-1,296.32-777.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)810.661,588.452,106.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,075.1012,075.1012,075.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.130.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.620.620.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.130.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.750.79
WACC / Discount Rate5.83%5.83%5.83%
Growth Rate2.40%3.40%4.40%
Fair Value$20.46$31.86$57.66
Upside / Downside106.47%221.54%481.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,370.5210,722.6711,086.7811,463.2511,852.5112,254.9812,622.63
Payout Ratio72.18%75.75%79.31%82.87%86.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,485.768,122.048,792.909,499.9610,244.9111,029.4811,675.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.83%5.83%5.83%
Growth Rate2.40%3.40%4.40%
Year 1 PV (M)7,600.097,674.317,748.54
Year 2 PV (M)7,699.097,850.218,002.79
Year 3 PV (M)7,783.648,013.928,248.70
Year 4 PV (M)7,854.578,165.938,486.45
Year 5 PV (M)7,912.688,306.678,716.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)295,559.68310,276.57325,573.95
Equity Value (M)334,409.75350,287.61366,776.64
Shares Outstanding (M)12,075.1012,075.1012,075.10
Fair Value$27.69$29.01$30.37
Upside / Downside179.46%192.73%206.50%

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