DDM Analysis: 1099.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$420.88 - $986.39	$924.39
Multi-Stage	$148.11 - $161.97	$154.91
Blended Fair Value	$539.65
Current Price	$16.77
Upside	3,117.96%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.14%	15.06%	0.87	0.82	0.75	0.69	0.60	0.56	0.51	0.44	0.36	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	6.10%	9.33%	8.70%	15.45%	6.38%	11.18%	13.99%	21.94%	32.26%	28.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.36%	4.49%	4.29%	5.00%	3.77%	2.21%	1.75%	1.56%	1.27%	1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,456.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9,757.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,091.34	1,932.09	1,159.25
Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54	5,699.54	5,699.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,091.34	-1,932.09	-1,159.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,608.20	3,767.45	4,540.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
LTM Dividend per Share	3.13	3.13	3.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.97	4.34	4.59
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$420.88	$924.39	$986.39
Upside / Downside	2,409.73%	5,412.16%	5,781.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,456.72	16,461.40	17,531.40	18,670.94	19,884.55	21,177.04	21,812.35
Payout Ratio	63.13%	68.50%	73.88%	79.25%	84.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9,757.18	11,276.17	12,951.40	14,796.78	16,827.33	19,059.34	20,176.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,489.07	10,588.49	10,687.91
Year 2 PV (M)	11,206.43	11,419.88	11,635.35
Year 3 PV (M)	11,909.48	12,251.36	12,599.72
Year 4 PV (M)	12,598.42	13,082.92	13,581.27
Year 5 PV (M)	13,273.46	13,914.57	14,580.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)	402,089.58	421,510.66	441,675.03
Equity Value (M)	461,566.45	482,767.89	504,759.50
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
Fair Value	$148.11	$154.91	$161.97
Upside / Downside	783.18%	823.75%	865.83%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
0258.HK	Tomson Group Limited	1.44%	$0.03	7.69%
055490.KS	Tapex Co., Ltd.	1.44%	$199.78	51.52%
2756.TWO	Lian Fa International Dining Business Corp.	1.44%	$1.18	40.55%
300130.SZ	XGD Inc.	1.44%	$0.40	65.84%
300194.SZ	Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd.	1.44%	$0.06	52.37%
301058.SZ	COFCO Technology & Industry Co., Ltd.	1.44%	$0.16	34.15%
3393.HK	Wasion Holdings Limited	1.44%	$0.26	17.68%
5536.TWO	Acter Group Corporation Limited	1.44%	$10.99	47.44%
600809.SS	Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.	1.44%	$2.47	24.55%
6485.T	Maezawa Kyuso Industries Co.,Ltd.	1.44%	$22.77	15.91%
6506.T	YASKAWA Electric Corporation	1.44%	$68.32	30.92%
688092.SS	Hangzhou IECHO Science & Technology Co., Ltd.	1.44%	$0.36	55.35%
ISS.CO	ISS A/S	1.44%	$3.10	19.54%
003027.SZ	Tongxing Environmental Protection Technology Co.,Ltd	1.43%	$0.32	50.08%
0W19.L	Datagroup Se	1.43%	$1.00	34.00%
0YG7.L	Beijer Alma AB (publ)	1.43%	$4.12	46.18%
2427.T	OUTSOURCING Inc.	1.43%	$24.98	56.59%
300409.SZ	Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co., Ltd.	1.43%	$0.32	58.17%
600362.SS	Jiangxi Copper Company Limited	1.43%	$0.79	33.95%
600409.SS	Tangshan Sanyou Chemical Industries Co.,Ltd	1.43%	$0.09	81.03%
601858.SS	China Science Publishing & Media Ltd.	1.43%	$0.26	39.12%
603283.SS	Suzhou Secote Precision Electronic Co.,LTD	1.43%	$0.62	25.98%
603757.SS	Zhejiang Dayuan Pumps Industry Co., Ltd	1.43%	$0.63	58.53%
6479.T	MinebeaMitsumi Inc.	1.43%	$45.06	29.19%
7012.T	Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd.	1.43%	$148.51	32.29%
9630.SR	Ratio Speciality Company for Trading	1.43%	$0.10	14.11%
G	Genpact Limited	1.43%	$0.66	20.93%
GIL	Gildan Activewear Inc.	1.43%	$0.90	28.59%
MRU.TO	Metro Inc.	1.43%	$1.42	30.52%
SIMINN.IC	Síminn hf.	1.43%	$0.21	33.47%
002568.SZ	Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.31	46.41%
2270.HK	Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.06	41.57%
300294.SZ	China Resources Boya Bio-pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.32	49.45%
300433.SZ	Lens Technology Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.43	54.16%
300906.SZ	Jiangxi Everbright Measurement And Control Technology Co.,Ltd.	1.42%	$0.50	58.74%
301588.SZ	Newtechwood Corp	1.42%	$0.26	67.53%
4684.T	OBIC Co.,Ltd.	1.42%	$70.00	44.07%
600023.SS	Zhejiang Zheneng Electric Power Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.07	12.91%
600268.SS	Guodian Nanjing Automation Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.15	33.78%
605089.SS	Suzhou Weizhixiang Food Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.36	67.75%
688677.SS	Qingdao NovelBeam Technology Co.,Ltd.	1.42%	$0.61	52.58%
7456.T	MATSUDA SANGYO Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$75.07	17.79%
DNR.MI	Industrie De Nora S.p.A.	1.42%	$0.10	22.74%
000039.SZ	China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd.	1.41%	$0.14	31.30%
000778.SZ	Xinxing Ductile Iron Pipes Co., Ltd.	1.41%	$0.06	60.76%
002434.SZ	Zhejiang Wanliyang Co., Ltd.	1.41%	$0.13	54.38%
0354.HK	Chinasoft International Limited	1.41%	$0.07	16.05%
300298.SZ	Sinocare Inc.	1.41%	$0.24	47.22%
600063.SS	Anhui Wanwei Updated High-Tech Material Industry Co.,Ltd	1.41%	$0.08	31.80%
603058.SS	GuiZhou YongJi Printing CO.,LTD	1.41%	$0.13	42.37%

Financial Statements

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Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd. (1099.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener