Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Geberit AG (0QQ2.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$462.01 - $808.01$609.65
Multi-Stage$1,067.43 - $1,173.79$1,119.58
Blended Fair Value$864.61
Current Price$624.00
Upside38.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.52%4.05%12.6312.7613.0412.1812.1611.7111.4611.099.319.35
YoY Growth---0.99%-2.17%7.07%0.12%3.86%2.15%3.37%19.11%-0.45%10.18%
Dividend Yield--2.45%2.37%2.99%1.63%2.19%2.16%3.06%2.58%2.28%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,184.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)841.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)343.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)236.82148.0188.81
Cash Retained (M)343.10343.10343.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-236.82-148.01-88.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.28195.09254.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.2233.2233.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.205.877.66
LTM Dividend per Share25.3225.3225.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.205.877.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend28.5231.1932.97
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Fair Value$462.01$609.65$808.01
Upside / Downside-25.96%-2.30%29.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,184.101,190.271,196.471,202.711,208.981,215.281,251.74
Payout Ratio71.02%74.82%78.61%82.41%86.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)841.00890.55940.60991.151,042.201,093.751,157.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Year 1 PV (M)834.43842.82851.20
Year 2 PV (M)825.79842.47859.31
Year 3 PV (M)815.33840.15865.48
Year 4 PV (M)803.29836.07869.84
Year 5 PV (M)789.90830.39872.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,389.0232,998.0434,672.37
Equity Value (M)35,457.7637,189.9338,990.72
Shares Outstanding (M)33.2233.2233.22
Fair Value$1,067.43$1,119.58$1,173.79
Upside / Downside71.06%79.42%88.11%

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