Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

NRG Energy, Inc. (0K4C.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,210.91 - $1,426.65$1,336.98
Multi-Stage$278.53 - $305.19$291.61
Blended Fair Value$814.30
Current Price$161.95
Upside402.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS66.13%7.53%2.021.901.651.591.470.160.180.190.381.00
YoY Growth--6.30%14.76%4.08%8.14%821.88%-13.51%-2.63%-50.00%-62.19%2.55%
Dividend Yield--2.11%2.70%4.82%4.14%3.89%0.58%0.44%0.62%2.02%7.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,441.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)409.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,032.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)288.20180.13108.08
Cash Retained (M)1,032.001,032.001,032.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-288.20-180.13-108.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)743.80851.88923.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.88200.88200.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.704.244.60
LTM Dividend per Share2.042.042.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.704.244.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.746.286.64
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,210.91$1,336.98$1,426.65
Upside / Downside647.70%725.55%780.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,441.001,534.671,634.421,740.661,853.801,974.292,033.52
Payout Ratio28.38%40.71%53.03%65.35%77.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)409.00624.71866.731,137.571,439.971,776.871,881.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)585.70591.25596.81
Year 2 PV (M)761.87776.39791.03
Year 3 PV (M)937.52964.43991.85
Year 4 PV (M)1,112.641,155.421,199.44
Year 5 PV (M)1,287.231,349.401,413.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,264.8053,740.9156,311.78
Equity Value (M)55,949.7558,577.8061,304.86
Shares Outstanding (M)200.88200.88200.88
Fair Value$278.53$291.61$305.19
Upside / Downside71.99%80.06%88.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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