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Definitive Analysis

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Gwangju Shinsegae. Co. ,Ltd. (037710.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$875,132.55 - $1,031,818.63$966,610.44
Multi-Stage$4,298,819.03 - $4,737,680.43$4,513,978.56
Blended Fair Value$2,740,294.50
Current Price$30,500.00
Upside8,884.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.54%24.23%2,294.942,294.941,773.36730.21730.21629.26262.19262.19262.19262.19
YoY Growth--0.00%29.41%142.86%0.00%16.04%140.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.41%7.41%5.22%1.92%2.15%2.37%0.70%0.59%0.53%0.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41,122.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,779.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,342.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,224.485,140.303,084.18
Cash Retained (M)24,342.6024,342.6024,342.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,224.48-5,140.30-3,084.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,118.1219,202.3021,258.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.637.637.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,113.022,517.342,786.89
LTM Dividend per Share2,199.762,199.762,199.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,113.022,517.342,786.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,312.784,717.114,986.65
WACC / Discount Rate-33.39%-33.39%-33.39%
Growth Rate1.46%2.46%3.46%
Fair Value$875,132.55$966,610.44$1,031,818.63
Upside / Downside2,769.29%3,069.21%3,283.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41,122.3842,133.1743,168.8144,229.9045,317.0846,430.9747,823.90
Payout Ratio40.80%50.64%60.48%70.32%80.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,779.7821,337.7526,109.6631,103.2636,326.5741,787.8844,237.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-33.39%-33.39%-33.39%
Growth Rate1.46%2.46%3.46%
Year 1 PV (M)31,720.7632,033.4132,346.06
Year 2 PV (M)57,702.0258,845.0959,999.36
Year 3 PV (M)102,185.84105,237.24108,348.79
Year 4 PV (M)177,420.66184,519.60191,829.46
Year 5 PV (M)303,406.56318,656.55334,513.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,118,955.7133,733,336.6035,411,988.96
Equity Value (M)32,791,391.5534,432,628.4936,139,026.30
Shares Outstanding (M)7.637.637.63
Fair Value$4,298,819.03$4,513,978.56$4,737,680.43
Upside / Downside13,994.49%14,699.93%15,433.38%

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