Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijing Enterprises Water Group Limited (0371.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.74 - $4.14$3.40
Multi-Stage$10.19 - $11.25$10.71
Blended Fair Value$7.06
Current Price$2.16
Upside226.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.48%11.24%0.140.160.130.170.160.190.160.120.100.08
YoY Growth---8.28%15.78%-20.06%4.15%-14.69%18.92%30.38%28.13%19.46%62.04%
Dividend Yield--5.70%8.86%6.74%5.56%5.19%4.81%4.00%1.97%1.85%1.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,285.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,102.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,182.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)657.05410.66246.39
Cash Retained (M)1,182.631,182.631,182.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-657.05-410.66-246.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)525.58771.98936.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10,034.5010,034.5010,034.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.30
WACC / Discount Rate5.15%5.15%5.15%
Growth Rate-4.03%-3.03%-2.03%
Fair Value$2.74$3.40$4.14
Upside / Downside26.88%57.38%91.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,285.263,185.873,089.482,996.022,905.382,817.482,902.00
Payout Ratio64.00%69.20%74.40%79.60%84.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,102.632,204.672,298.612,384.852,463.772,535.732,684.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.15%5.15%5.15%
Growth Rate-4.03%-3.03%-2.03%
Year 1 PV (M)2,075.132,096.752,118.37
Year 2 PV (M)2,036.432,079.082,122.18
Year 3 PV (M)1,988.682,051.502,115.62
Year 4 PV (M)1,933.782,015.642,100.08
Year 5 PV (M)1,873.311,972.962,076.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)92,367.7497,281.17102,401.49
Equity Value (M)102,275.07107,497.10112,934.55
Shares Outstanding (M)10,034.5010,034.5010,034.50
Fair Value$10.19$10.71$11.25
Upside / Downside371.87%395.96%421.05%

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