Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KPX Chemical Co.,Ltd. (025000.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,196,012.45 - $2,587,274.74$2,424,655.34
Multi-Stage$4,815,493.48 - $5,286,983.78$5,046,826.87
Blended Fair Value$3,735,741.10
Current Price$48,900.00
Upside7,539.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.37%7.77%3,372.673,327.533,005.872,798.242,706.942,155.082,035.082,132.311,930.911,812.42
YoY Growth--1.36%10.70%7.42%3.37%25.61%5.90%-4.56%10.43%6.54%13.62%
Dividend Yield--7.87%7.24%6.33%5.16%4.26%5.02%3.67%3.46%3.24%3.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60,796.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,467.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)44,329.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,159.387,599.614,559.77
Cash Retained (M)44,329.4744,329.4744,329.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,159.38-7,599.61-4,559.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,170.0936,729.8639,769.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.674.674.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share6,883.887,859.608,510.07
LTM Dividend per Share3,523.763,523.763,523.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share6,883.887,859.608,510.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend10,407.6411,383.3612,033.84
WACC / Discount Rate-19.20%-19.20%-19.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,196,012.45$2,424,655.34$2,587,274.74
Upside / Downside4,390.82%4,858.40%5,190.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60,796.8964,748.6968,957.3573,439.5878,213.1583,297.0185,795.92
Payout Ratio27.09%39.67%52.25%64.83%77.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,467.4225,685.0136,031.3147,614.1060,550.4374,967.3179,361.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-19.20%-19.20%-19.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)31,491.0931,789.5832,088.07
Year 2 PV (M)54,162.1555,193.7856,235.15
Year 3 PV (M)87,752.4890,271.5492,838.35
Year 4 PV (M)136,819.80142,081.50147,493.53
Year 5 PV (M)207,688.08217,719.50228,134.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,986,091.3323,048,027.7724,150,607.01
Equity Value (M)22,504,004.9323,585,083.6624,707,396.94
Shares Outstanding (M)4.674.674.67
Fair Value$4,815,493.48$5,046,826.87$5,286,983.78
Upside / Downside9,747.63%10,220.71%10,711.83%

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