Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fursys Inc. (016800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46,200.72 - $76,151.74$59,497.87
Multi-Stage$49,230.20 - $53,820.33$51,482.99
Blended Fair Value$55,490.43
Current Price$44,900.00
Upside23.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.63%4.94%1,200.081,101.461,127.361,025.891,053.831,053.83843.22739.63745.13742.58
YoY Growth--8.95%-2.30%9.89%-2.65%0.00%24.98%14.01%-0.74%0.34%0.25%
Dividend Yield--2.87%3.05%3.81%2.77%3.57%3.83%2.69%2.36%2.34%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35,242.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,738.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,503.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,048.524,405.322,643.19
Cash Retained (M)24,503.8424,503.8424,503.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,048.52-4,405.32-2,643.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,455.3220,098.5221,860.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.958.958.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,950.682,246.062,442.98
LTM Dividend per Share1,200.081,200.081,200.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,950.682,246.062,442.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,150.763,446.143,643.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$46,200.72$59,497.87$76,151.74
Upside / Downside2.90%32.51%69.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35,242.5836,632.2838,076.7739,578.2241,138.8842,761.0744,043.91
Payout Ratio30.47%42.38%54.28%66.19%78.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,738.7415,523.5720,669.0426,196.1832,127.0738,484.9740,740.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)13,981.1814,117.0014,252.81
Year 2 PV (M)16,765.8417,093.1517,423.62
Year 3 PV (M)19,137.9419,701.1020,275.20
Year 4 PV (M)21,138.8221,972.2522,830.07
Year 5 PV (M)22,806.2123,935.6525,109.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)346,698.75363,868.42381,711.69
Equity Value (M)440,528.74460,687.56481,602.80
Shares Outstanding (M)8.958.958.95
Fair Value$49,230.20$51,482.99$53,820.33
Upside / Downside9.64%14.66%19.87%

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