Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kingboard Holdings Limited (0148.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.71 - $42.24$35.88
Multi-Stage$42.50 - $46.50$44.46
Blended Fair Value$40.17
Current Price$25.10
Upside60.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.37%10.18%0.981.053.002.281.100.962.041.510.560.46
YoY Growth---7.09%-65.01%31.78%107.85%14.42%-52.99%34.54%172.73%20.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--5.22%5.80%12.08%6.00%3.35%3.88%9.75%3.56%2.36%3.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,885.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,245.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,640.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)977.07610.67366.40
Cash Retained (M)2,640.112,640.112,640.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-977.07-610.67-366.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,663.042,029.442,273.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,108.311,108.311,108.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.501.832.05
LTM Dividend per Share2.032.032.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.501.832.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.533.864.08
WACC / Discount Rate10.66%10.66%10.66%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Fair Value$29.71$35.88$42.24
Upside / Downside18.36%42.94%68.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,885.344,881.524,877.704,873.894,870.084,866.275,012.26
Payout Ratio45.96%54.77%63.58%72.38%81.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,245.232,673.453,101.003,527.893,954.104,379.644,636.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.66%10.66%10.66%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Year 1 PV (M)2,391.662,415.842,440.01
Year 2 PV (M)2,481.742,532.172,583.10
Year 3 PV (M)2,525.782,603.152,682.09
Year 4 PV (M)2,532.532,636.502,743.64
Year 5 PV (M)2,509.422,638.852,773.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,663.7636,451.6238,312.51
Equity Value (M)47,104.8949,278.1351,534.92
Shares Outstanding (M)1,108.311,108.311,108.31
Fair Value$42.50$44.46$46.50
Upside / Downside69.33%77.14%85.25%

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