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Definitive Analysis

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Samho Development Co., Ltd. (010960.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,803.64 - $10,058.46$8,361.49
Multi-Stage$9,317.11 - $10,209.97$9,755.09
Blended Fair Value$9,058.29
Current Price$3,400.00
Upside166.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.01%0.00%189.66189.66189.66195.09201.46171.68176.19145.09100.45103.95
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-2.78%-3.16%17.34%-2.56%21.43%44.44%-3.37%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.26%5.72%5.47%3.79%3.89%4.46%3.47%2.71%2.33%2.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,844.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,354.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,490.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,768.952,355.591,413.36
Cash Retained (M)13,490.7413,490.7413,490.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,768.95-2,355.59-1,413.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,721.7911,135.1512,077.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.4022.4022.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share434.02497.12539.18
LTM Dividend per Share239.02239.02239.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share434.02497.12539.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend673.04736.14778.20
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate-0.04%0.96%1.96%
Fair Value$6,803.64$8,361.49$10,058.46
Upside / Downside100.11%145.93%195.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,844.7419,026.0119,209.0219,393.7919,580.3419,768.6920,361.75
Payout Ratio28.41%40.73%53.05%65.36%77.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,354.007,749.0810,189.7412,676.6515,210.4517,791.8218,834.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate-0.04%0.96%1.96%
Year 1 PV (M)6,984.347,054.217,124.08
Year 2 PV (M)8,277.778,444.218,612.32
Year 3 PV (M)9,281.739,563.099,850.07
Year 4 PV (M)10,037.8710,445.6110,865.64
Year 5 PV (M)10,582.6611,122.6911,684.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)163,534.17171,879.30180,561.68
Equity Value (M)208,698.53218,509.10228,698.33
Shares Outstanding (M)22.4022.4022.40
Fair Value$9,317.11$9,755.09$10,209.97
Upside / Downside174.03%186.91%200.29%

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