Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wonlim Corporation (005820.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,320.09 - $19,291.51$16,220.69
Multi-Stage$19,635.08 - $21,550.97$20,574.63
Blended Fair Value$18,397.66
Current Price$14,040.00
Upside31.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.32%0.45%753.37593.68493.70712.66481.87243.77238.10719.96481.87577.10
YoY Growth--26.90%20.25%-30.72%47.90%97.67%2.38%-66.93%49.41%-16.50%-19.84%
Dividend Yield--5.78%3.06%2.17%3.24%2.15%1.75%1.40%3.22%2.06%2.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,737.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)822.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,914.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)747.43467.14280.29
Cash Retained (M)2,914.422,914.422,914.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-747.43-467.14-280.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,166.992,447.282,634.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.062.062.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,053.281,189.511,280.34
LTM Dividend per Share399.89399.89399.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,053.281,189.511,280.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,453.171,589.411,680.23
WACC / Discount Rate9.61%9.61%9.61%
Growth Rate-1.17%-0.17%0.83%
Fair Value$13,320.09$16,220.69$19,291.51
Upside / Downside-5.13%15.53%37.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,737.153,730.793,724.433,718.083,711.743,705.423,816.58
Payout Ratio22.01%35.61%49.21%62.81%76.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)822.731,328.611,832.752,335.182,835.883,334.883,530.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.61%9.61%9.61%
Growth Rate-1.17%-0.17%0.83%
Year 1 PV (M)1,199.961,212.101,224.25
Year 2 PV (M)1,495.021,525.431,556.14
Year 3 PV (M)1,720.421,773.171,826.99
Year 4 PV (M)1,887.011,964.552,044.46
Year 5 PV (M)2,004.182,107.652,215.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,090.1433,746.8435,471.27
Equity Value (M)40,396.7342,329.7444,338.45
Shares Outstanding (M)2.062.062.06
Fair Value$19,635.08$20,574.63$21,550.97
Upside / Downside39.85%46.54%53.50%

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