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Definitive Analysis

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Sungshin Cement Co., Ltd (004980.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45,922.28 - $178,695.33$128,541.58
Multi-Stage$22,053.66 - $24,121.07$23,068.46
Blended Fair Value$75,805.02
Current Price$9,280.00
Upside716.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.65%0.00%351.18201.31201.31155.37151.35131.840.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--74.45%0.00%29.57%2.66%14.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.09%2.35%1.87%1.07%1.41%2.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,348.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,734.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,613.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,469.612,793.501,676.10
Cash Retained (M)13,613.4913,613.4913,613.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,469.61-2,793.50-1,676.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,143.8910,819.9911,937.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.8724.8724.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share367.64435.03479.96
LTM Dividend per Share351.18351.18351.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share367.64435.03479.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend718.82786.21831.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45,922.28$128,541.58$178,695.33
Upside / Downside394.85%1,285.15%1,825.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,348.0423,800.6625,347.7026,995.3028,750.0030,618.7431,537.31
Payout Ratio39.08%49.27%59.45%69.63%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,734.5411,725.9515,069.3318,797.8222,947.3427,556.8729,172.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,840.5910,943.3511,046.10
Year 2 PV (M)12,879.6513,124.9713,372.61
Year 3 PV (M)14,853.2815,279.6715,714.13
Year 4 PV (M)16,763.0217,407.6818,070.76
Year 5 PV (M)18,610.3719,509.2520,442.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)474,566.31497,488.04521,287.04
Equity Value (M)548,513.22573,752.96599,933.18
Shares Outstanding (M)24.8724.8724.87
Fair Value$22,053.66$23,068.46$24,121.07
Upside / Downside137.65%148.58%159.93%

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