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Definitive Analysis

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Chong Kun Dang Holdings Corp. (001630.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$176,811.98 - $500,446.22$275,703.12
Multi-Stage$159,606.45 - $174,828.46$167,076.05
Blended Fair Value$221,389.58
Current Price$46,750.00
Upside373.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.14%4.50%2,724.872,109.232,183.052,284.382,192.662,022.662,725.352,140.392,009.241,047.67
YoY Growth--29.19%-3.38%-4.44%4.18%8.40%-25.78%27.33%6.53%91.78%-40.29%
Dividend Yield--6.35%3.45%4.31%3.19%2.12%1.92%3.90%2.97%2.95%1.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34,721.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,446.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,274.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,944.284,340.182,604.11
Cash Retained (M)24,274.6924,274.6924,274.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,944.28-4,340.18-2,604.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,330.4119,934.5121,670.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.764.764.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,640.084,187.044,551.69
LTM Dividend per Share2,194.232,194.232,194.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,640.084,187.044,551.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,834.316,381.276,745.92
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate3.85%4.85%5.85%
Fair Value$176,811.98$275,703.12$500,446.22
Upside / Downside278.21%489.74%970.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34,721.4236,406.7338,173.8440,026.7341,969.5544,006.6845,326.88
Payout Ratio30.09%42.07%54.05%66.03%78.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,446.7215,316.2420,633.8626,431.6132,743.5839,606.0141,927.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate3.85%4.85%5.85%
Year 1 PV (M)14,140.6314,276.7914,412.95
Year 2 PV (M)17,587.8917,928.2318,271.82
Year 3 PV (M)20,800.4921,407.1522,025.50
Year 4 PV (M)23,789.9024,719.5025,676.08
Year 5 PV (M)26,567.1027,871.0329,225.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)657,000.30689,246.35722,746.29
Equity Value (M)759,886.30795,449.05832,358.30
Shares Outstanding (M)4.764.764.76
Fair Value$159,606.45$167,076.05$174,828.46
Upside / Downside241.40%257.38%273.96%

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