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Definitive Analysis

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Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. (000810.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$778,297.74 - $1,518,986.22$1,071,722.37
Multi-Stage$652,157.16 - $711,601.21$681,342.43
Blended Fair Value$876,532.40
Current Price$451,500.00
Upside94.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.86%18.63%16,021.9913,826.7812,022.508,800.228,500.2211,500.1810,000.206,117.675,228.694,695.94
YoY Growth--15.88%15.01%36.62%3.53%-26.09%15.00%63.46%17.00%11.35%61.80%
Dividend Yield--4.48%4.53%5.84%4.02%4.47%7.47%3.24%2.26%1.95%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,990,667.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)809,299.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,181,368.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)398,133.56248,833.48149,300.09
Cash Retained (M)1,181,368.531,181,368.531,181,368.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-398,133.56-248,833.48-149,300.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)783,234.97932,535.061,032,068.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.5142.5142.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share18,424.7221,936.8424,278.25
LTM Dividend per Share19,037.8619,037.8619,037.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share18,424.7221,936.8424,278.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend37,462.5840,974.7043,316.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate4.86%5.86%6.86%
Fair Value$778,297.74$1,071,722.37$1,518,986.22
Upside / Downside72.38%137.37%236.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,990,667.812,107,258.062,230,676.812,361,324.002,499,622.992,646,021.932,725,402.58
Payout Ratio40.65%50.52%60.39%70.26%80.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)809,299.281,064,665.371,347,168.131,659,110.282,002,971.212,381,419.732,520,997.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate4.86%5.86%6.86%
Year 1 PV (M)959,571.61968,722.87977,874.12
Year 2 PV (M)1,094,335.091,115,307.561,136,479.09
Year 3 PV (M)1,214,697.241,249,782.751,285,537.44
Year 4 PV (M)1,321,696.571,372,841.511,425,456.63
Year 5 PV (M)1,416,306.561,485,142.301,556,628.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,716,593.7322,772,069.7923,868,191.49
Equity Value (M)27,723,200.8128,963,866.7830,250,167.63
Shares Outstanding (M)42.5142.5142.51
Fair Value$652,157.16$681,342.43$711,601.21
Upside / Downside44.44%50.91%57.61%

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