DDM Analysis: 3030.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.53 - $28.22	$23.76
Multi-Stage	$45.81 - $50.42	$48.07
Blended Fair Value	$35.91
Current Price	$39.58
Upside	-9.27%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-7.16%	-10.84%	2.24	3.33	3.42	3.50	3.50	3.25	3.25	5.00	5.75	5.50
YoY Growth	-	-	-32.68%	-2.78%	-2.17%	0.00%	7.69%	0.00%	-35.00%	-13.04%	4.55%	-22.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.89%	7.14%	6.11%	5.75%	5.27%	6.63%	5.56%	9.30%	9.61%	8.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	424.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	251.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	173.69

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	84.94	53.09	31.85
Cash Retained (M)	173.69	173.69	173.69
(-) Cash Required (M)	-84.94	-53.09	-31.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	88.75	120.60	141.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	153.00	153.00	153.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.58	0.79	0.93
LTM Dividend per Share	1.64	1.64	1.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.58	0.79	0.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.22	2.43	2.57
WACC / Discount Rate	7.06%	7.06%	7.06%
Growth Rate	-3.87%	-2.87%	-1.87%
Fair Value	$19.53	$23.76	$28.22
Upside / Downside	-50.65%	-39.97%	-28.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	424.72	412.52	400.67	389.16	377.98	367.12	378.13
Payout Ratio	59.10%	65.28%	71.46%	77.64%	83.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	251.03	269.31	286.33	302.15	316.82	330.41	349.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.06%	7.06%	7.06%
Growth Rate	-3.87%	-2.87%	-1.87%
Year 1 PV (M)	248.96	251.55	254.14
Year 2 PV (M)	244.71	249.82	254.99
Year 3 PV (M)	238.72	246.25	253.93
Year 4 PV (M)	231.41	241.19	251.28
Year 5 PV (M)	223.10	234.95	247.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,821.31	6,130.47	6,452.62
Equity Value (M)	7,008.20	7,354.23	7,714.26
Shares Outstanding (M)	153.00	153.00	153.00
Fair Value	$45.81	$48.07	$50.42
Upside / Downside	15.73%	21.44%	27.39%

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6383.T	Daifuku Co., Ltd.	1.64%	$80.66	36.37%
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002266.SZ	Zhefu Holding Group Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.07	37.41%
0GDU.L	Paradox Interactive AB (publ)	1.63%	$5.00	82.82%
300121.SZ	Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.21	53.84%
603013.SS	YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.40	37.85%
603081.SS	Zhejiang Dafeng Industry Co., Ltd	1.63%	$0.23	92.61%
603194.SS	Zhejiang E-P Equipment Co Ltd	1.63%	$0.64	29.27%
603221.SS	Elegant Home-Tech Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.21	78.59%
BEI.DE	Beiersdorf AG	1.63%	$1.52	25.19%
CLD.WA	Cloud Technologies S.A.	1.63%	$1.14	92.28%
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LDO.MI	Leonardo S.p.A.	1.63%	$0.84	33.82%
MEOH	Methanex Corporation	1.63%	$0.67	24.08%
PARKIN.AE	Parkin Company PJSC	1.63%	$0.09	49.98%
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300206.SZ	Edan Instruments, Inc.	1.62%	$0.21	48.61%
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605050.SS	Friend Co.,Ltd.	1.62%	$0.22	30.01%
7378.T	ASIRO Inc.	1.62%	$23.93	20.21%
BPAC11.SA	Banco BTG Pactual S.A.	1.62%	$0.84	27.38%
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Financial Statements

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Saudi Cement Company (3030.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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