Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sub Sri Thai Real Estate Investment Trust (SSTRT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.77 - $101.68$70.61
Multi-Stage$12.86 - $14.05$13.44
Blended Fair Value$42.03
Current Price$4.40
Upside855.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.03%0.00%0.400.400.330.420.290.220.120.000.290.26
YoY Growth--0.02%22.35%-22.38%44.71%34.20%82.35%0.00%-100.00%11.75%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.44%7.92%6.00%7.20%5.34%4.39%1.95%0.00%3.03%2.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)76.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.5512.227.33
Cash Retained (M)21.2721.2721.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.55-12.22-7.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.729.0513.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)191.15191.15191.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$25.77$70.61$101.68
Upside / Downside485.59%1,504.76%2,210.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97.73104.08110.85118.06125.73133.90137.92
Payout Ratio78.24%80.59%82.94%85.29%87.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)76.4683.8891.94100.69110.20120.51127.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)77.5378.2679.00
Year 2 PV (M)78.5580.0481.55
Year 3 PV (M)79.5181.7984.12
Year 4 PV (M)80.4383.5286.70
Year 5 PV (M)81.3085.2289.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,061.492,161.062,264.45
Equity Value (M)2,458.812,569.912,685.12
Shares Outstanding (M)191.15191.15191.15
Fair Value$12.86$13.44$14.05
Upside / Downside192.35%205.56%219.25%

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