Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.08 - $220.40$152.16
Multi-Stage$159.74 - $175.03$167.24
Blended Fair Value$159.70
Current Price$123.75
Upside29.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.79%3.70%4.144.184.104.013.623.443.183.163.002.90
YoY Growth---0.96%2.04%2.09%10.74%5.40%7.97%0.86%5.06%3.46%0.90%
Dividend Yield--3.39%4.35%4.25%3.59%3.75%4.25%3.57%4.07%3.66%3.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,993.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,022.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)971.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)998.60624.13374.48
Cash Retained (M)971.00971.00971.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-998.60-624.13-374.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-27.60346.88596.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)776.25776.25776.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.450.77
LTM Dividend per Share5.185.185.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.450.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.155.635.95
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate1.79%2.79%3.79%
Fair Value$109.08$152.16$220.40
Upside / Downside-11.86%22.96%78.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,993.005,132.185,275.245,422.285,573.435,728.795,900.65
Payout Ratio80.55%82.44%84.33%86.22%88.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,022.004,231.084,448.704,675.154,910.785,155.915,458.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate1.79%2.79%3.79%
Year 1 PV (M)3,930.903,969.524,008.14
Year 2 PV (M)3,839.843,915.663,992.22
Year 3 PV (M)3,749.013,860.603,974.38
Year 4 PV (M)3,658.583,804.483,954.71
Year 5 PV (M)3,568.683,747.463,933.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)105,251.92110,524.69116,006.69
Equity Value (M)123,998.93129,822.41135,869.47
Shares Outstanding (M)776.25776.25776.25
Fair Value$159.74$167.24$175.03
Upside / Downside29.08%35.15%41.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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