Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Alla Public Company Limited (ALLA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.01 - $1.46$1.22
Multi-Stage$2.70 - $2.98$2.84
Blended Fair Value$2.03
Current Price$1.19
Upside70.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.44%-7.74%0.120.070.050.070.100.080.070.020.170.39
YoY Growth--71.46%39.95%-28.53%-30.04%24.98%14.30%249.92%-87.88%-57.93%46.08%
Dividend Yield--9.16%3.62%3.52%4.26%6.66%7.69%4.02%1.06%6.60%13.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.0410.656.39
Cash Retained (M)19.2719.2719.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.04-10.65-6.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.238.6212.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-4.31%-3.31%-2.31%
Fair Value$1.01$1.22$1.46
Upside / Downside-15.49%2.92%22.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85.2282.4079.6777.0374.4872.0274.18
Payout Ratio77.39%79.91%82.43%84.96%87.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.9565.8465.6765.4465.1664.8268.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-4.31%-3.31%-2.31%
Year 1 PV (M)61.1861.8262.46
Year 2 PV (M)56.7157.9059.10
Year 3 PV (M)52.5154.1755.87
Year 4 PV (M)48.5850.6452.77
Year 5 PV (M)44.9147.3049.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,357.491,429.921,505.40
Equity Value (M)1,621.381,701.761,785.42
Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
Fair Value$2.70$2.84$2.98
Upside / Downside127.08%138.34%150.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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