DDM Analysis: ALLA.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.01 - $1.46	$1.22
Multi-Stage	$2.70 - $2.98	$2.84
Blended Fair Value	$2.03
Current Price	$1.19
Upside	70.63%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.44%	-7.74%	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.07	0.10	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.17	0.39
YoY Growth	-	-	71.46%	39.95%	-28.53%	-30.04%	24.98%	14.30%	249.92%	-87.88%	-57.93%	46.08%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.16%	3.62%	3.52%	4.26%	6.66%	7.69%	4.02%	1.06%	6.60%	13.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	85.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	65.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19.27

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.04	10.65	6.39
Cash Retained (M)	19.27	19.27	19.27
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.04	-10.65	-6.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.23	8.62	12.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	600.00	600.00	600.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.11	0.12	0.13
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	-4.31%	-3.31%	-2.31%
Fair Value	$1.01	$1.22	$1.46
Upside / Downside	-15.49%	2.92%	22.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	85.22	82.40	79.67	77.03	74.48	72.02	74.18
Payout Ratio	77.39%	79.91%	82.43%	84.96%	87.48%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	65.95	65.84	65.67	65.44	65.16	64.82	68.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	-4.31%	-3.31%	-2.31%
Year 1 PV (M)	61.18	61.82	62.46
Year 2 PV (M)	56.71	57.90	59.10
Year 3 PV (M)	52.51	54.17	55.87
Year 4 PV (M)	48.58	50.64	52.77
Year 5 PV (M)	44.91	47.30	49.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,357.49	1,429.92	1,505.41
Equity Value (M)	1,621.38	1,701.76	1,785.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	600.00	600.00	600.00
Fair Value	$2.70	$2.84	$2.98
Upside / Downside	127.08%	138.34%	150.06%

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Alla Public Company Limited (ALLA.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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