DDM Analysis: 0636.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.36 - $57.71	$39.67
Multi-Stage	$40.37 - $44.33	$42.31
Blended Fair Value	$40.99
Current Price	$7.59
Upside	440.01%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-16.57%	3.76%	0.23	0.47	0.77	7.65	0.42	0.56	0.33	0.19	0.16	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	-51.06%	-39.74%	-89.91%	1,718.57%	-25.30%	72.89%	75.36%	17.71%	21.55%	-17.51%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.31%	5.96%	5.50%	40.14%	2.47%	4.21%	2.80%	1.67%	1.61%	1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,023.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	849.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,174.44

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	604.79	377.99	226.79
Cash Retained (M)	2,174.44	2,174.44	2,174.44
(-) Cash Required (M)	-604.79	-377.99	-226.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,569.65	1,796.44	1,947.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,825.89	1,825.89	1,825.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.86	0.98	1.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.47	0.47	0.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.86	0.98	1.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.32	1.45	1.53
WACC / Discount Rate	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%
Growth Rate	1.76%	2.76%	3.76%
Fair Value	$28.36	$39.67	$57.71
Upside / Downside	273.64%	422.61%	660.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,023.93	3,107.41	3,193.21	3,281.37	3,371.96	3,465.05	3,569.01
Payout Ratio	28.09%	40.47%	52.86%	65.24%	77.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	849.49	1,257.69	1,687.78	2,140.66	2,617.26	3,118.55	3,301.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%
Growth Rate	1.76%	2.76%	3.76%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,169.27	1,180.76	1,192.25
Year 2 PV (M)	1,458.82	1,487.63	1,516.72
Year 3 PV (M)	1,720.18	1,771.39	1,823.61
Year 4 PV (M)	1,955.31	2,033.31	2,113.62
Year 5 PV (M)	2,166.02	2,274.56	2,387.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	65,233.28	68,502.13	71,900.72
Equity Value (M)	73,702.89	77,249.79	80,934.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,825.89	1,825.89	1,825.89
Fair Value	$40.37	$42.31	$44.33
Upside / Downside	431.82%	457.42%	484.00%

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600848.SS	Shanghai Lingang Holdings Co.,Ltd.	2.13%	$0.25	39.80%
7259.T	Aisin Corporation	2.13%	$62.39	27.27%
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000878.SZ	Yunnan Copper Co., Ltd.	2.12%	$0.44	67.43%
002223.SZ	Jiangsu Yuyue Medical Equipment & Supply Co., Ltd.	2.12%	$0.81	46.42%
002731.SZ	Shenyang Cuihua Gold and Silver Jewelry Co., Ltd.	2.12%	$0.27	24.86%
0RKK.L	Volati AB	2.12%	$2.20	57.57%
0RVK.L	Befesa S.A.	2.12%	$0.74	64.88%
163560.KS	DRB Industrial Co., Ltd.	2.12%	$146.78	36.08%
2641.TWO	Franbo Lines Corp.	2.12%	$0.43	25.10%
443060.KS	Hdhms	2.12%	$4,099.93	69.50%
605500.SS	Forest Packaging Group Co.,Ltd.	2.12%	$0.19	89.23%
6455.T	Morita Holdings Corporation	2.12%	$58.45	24.57%
CCOLA.IS	Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi	2.12%	$1.26	25.02%
MTWI.JK	PT Malacca Trust Wuwungan Insurance Tbk	2.12%	$7.84	25.68%
PNDX-B.ST	Pandox AB (publ)	2.12%	$4.25	40.78%
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002440.SZ	Zhejiang Runtu Co., Ltd.	2.11%	$0.16	60.72%
002973.SZ	Qiaoyin City Management Co.,Ltd.	2.11%	$0.29	59.79%
0400.HK	Ingdan, Inc.	2.11%	$0.06	22.33%
0Z4I.L	Sunny Optical Technology (Group) Company Limited	2.11%	$0.71	15.45%
200771.SZ	Hangzhou Steam Turbine Co., Ltd.	2.11%	$0.28	59.18%
285130.KS	SK Chemicals Co.,Ltd	2.11%	$1,396.25	31.71%
688558.SS	Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd.	2.11%	$0.61	53.65%
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601456.SS	Guolian Minsheng Securities Co., Ltd.	2.10%	$0.21	68.71%
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600309.SS	Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd.	2.09%	$1.60	45.09%
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Financial Statements

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KLN Logistics Group Limited (0636.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener