DDM Analysis: 0636.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.36 - $57.71	$39.67
Multi-Stage	$40.37 - $44.33	$42.31
Blended Fair Value	$40.99
Current Price	$7.59
Upside	440.01%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-16.57%	3.76%	0.23	0.47	0.77	7.65	0.42	0.56	0.33	0.19	0.16	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	-51.06%	-39.74%	-89.91%	1,718.57%	-25.30%	72.89%	75.36%	17.71%	21.55%	-17.51%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.31%	5.96%	5.50%	40.14%	2.47%	4.21%	2.80%	1.67%	1.61%	1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,023.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	849.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,174.44

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	604.79	377.99	226.79
Cash Retained (M)	2,174.44	2,174.44	2,174.44
(-) Cash Required (M)	-604.79	-377.99	-226.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,569.65	1,796.44	1,947.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,825.89	1,825.89	1,825.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.86	0.98	1.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.47	0.47	0.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.86	0.98	1.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.32	1.45	1.53
WACC / Discount Rate	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%
Growth Rate	1.76%	2.76%	3.76%
Fair Value	$28.36	$39.67	$57.71
Upside / Downside	273.64%	422.61%	660.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,023.93	3,107.41	3,193.21	3,281.37	3,371.96	3,465.05	3,569.01
Payout Ratio	28.09%	40.47%	52.86%	65.24%	77.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	849.49	1,257.69	1,687.78	2,140.66	2,617.26	3,118.55	3,301.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%
Growth Rate	1.76%	2.76%	3.76%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,169.27	1,180.76	1,192.25
Year 2 PV (M)	1,458.82	1,487.63	1,516.72
Year 3 PV (M)	1,720.18	1,771.39	1,823.61
Year 4 PV (M)	1,955.31	2,033.31	2,113.62
Year 5 PV (M)	2,166.02	2,274.56	2,387.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	65,233.28	68,502.13	71,900.72
Equity Value (M)	73,702.89	77,249.79	80,934.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,825.89	1,825.89	1,825.89
Fair Value	$40.37	$42.31	$44.33
Upside / Downside	431.82%	457.42%	484.00%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
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3109.T	Shikibo Ltd.	2.19%	$22.89	30.55%
3679.T	ZIGExN Co., Ltd.	2.19%	$10.55	26.56%
4516.T	Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.	2.19%	$123.87	26.14%
4617.T	Chugoku Marine Paints, Ltd.	2.19%	$96.72	42.42%
600051.SS	Ningbo United Group Co.,Ltd.	2.19%	$0.17	55.08%
603799.SS	Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd	2.19%	$1.49	48.01%
7233.KL	Dufu Technology Corp. Berhad	2.19%	$0.04	95.65%
9064.T	Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.19%	$48.33	36.15%
9948.T	ARCS Company Limited	2.19%	$74.01	33.92%
000049.SZ	Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.59	54.00%
000153.SZ	Anhui Fengyuan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.14	55.80%
002237.SZ	Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.29	61.47%
002626.SZ	Xiamen Kingdomway Group Company	2.18%	$0.43	54.26%
2468.TW	Fortune Information Systems Corp	2.18%	$0.90	78.36%
300815.SZ	EIT Environmental Development Group Co.,Ltd	2.18%	$0.50	38.67%
300910.SZ	Xinxiang Richful Lube Additive Co., Ltd	2.18%	$1.23	45.00%
4908.TWO	APAC Opto Electronics Inc.	2.18%	$1.74	72.09%
601369.SS	Xi'an Shaangu Power Co., Ltd.	2.18%	$0.22	37.55%
067160.KQ	Soop Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$1,492.25	15.52%
3898.HK	Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$0.83	29.19%
4507.T	Shionogi & Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$61.65	30.72%
603383.SS	Fujian Apex Software Co.,LTD	2.17%	$0.78	83.82%
603568.SS	Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$0.55	34.14%
7181.T	Japan Post Insurance Co., Ltd.	2.17%	$102.13	24.56%
053800.KQ	AhnLab, Inc.	2.16%	$1,304.40	28.50%
0QI9.L	Creades AB	2.16%	$1.59	16.64%
601233.SS	Tongkun Group Co., Ltd.	2.16%	$0.37	50.52%
605056.SS	Xianheng International Science&Technology Co., Ltd.	2.16%	$0.36	57.45%
MGIC	Magic Software Enterprises Ltd.	2.16%	$0.56	69.02%
002311.SZ	Guangdong Haid Group Co., Limited	2.15%	$1.19	39.51%
3727.T	Aplix Corporation	2.15%	$3.44	54.78%
603586.SS	Shandong Gold Phoenix Co.,Ltd	2.15%	$0.41	51.17%
6268.T	Nabtesco Corporation	2.15%	$80.74	60.45%
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VZUG.SW	V-ZUG Holding AG	2.15%	$0.91	19.03%
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300482.SZ	Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech Co.,Ltd	2.14%	$0.42	74.45%
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Financial Statements

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Sector

KLN Logistics Group Limited (0636.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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